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Clark, WA · ZIP 98685 · Census Tract 53011040909 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$511K
Downside (P10)
$435K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$583K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$780K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $211K | $250K | $261K | $282K | $302K | $340K | $381K | $421K | $472K | $499K | $511K | $545K | $553K | $583K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$299,550 | -$260,250 | -$249,250 | -$228,250 | -$209,150 | -$170,750 | -$129,550 | -$89,650 | -$38,850 | -$11,850 | +$33,928 | +$42,251 | +$72,006 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.7% | -51.0% | -48.8% | -44.7% | -41.0% | -33.4% | -25.4% | -17.6% | -7.6% | -2.3% | +6.6% | +8.3% | +14.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $432K | $431K | $435K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $656K | $715K | $780K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$432K to $656K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$435K to $780K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | +15.6% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041900) | $515K | $580K | +12.8% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042000) | $505K | $555K | +9.9% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041329) | $517K | $550K | +6.4% | |
| Battle Ground | $502K | $522K | +4.1% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042100) | $523K | $535K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | +15.6% | |
| Orchards (Tract 040712) | $484K | $593K | +22.5% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041310) | $641K | $757K | +18.1% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041323) | $460K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Orchards (Tract 041334) | $624K | $724K | +16.2% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041309) | $592K | $687K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | $344K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041800) | $384K | $426K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041600) | $307K | $339K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041005) | $333K | $349K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042700) | $375K | $421K | $186K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041312) | $312K | $333K | $171K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clark, WA · ZIP 98685 · Census Tract 53011040909 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$511K
Downside (P10)
$435K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$583K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$780K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $211K | $250K | $261K | $282K | $302K | $340K | $381K | $421K | $472K | $499K | $511K | $545K | $553K | $583K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$299,550 | -$260,250 | -$249,250 | -$228,250 | -$209,150 | -$170,750 | -$129,550 | -$89,650 | -$38,850 | -$11,850 | +$33,928 | +$42,251 | +$72,006 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.7% | -51.0% | -48.8% | -44.7% | -41.0% | -33.4% | -25.4% | -17.6% | -7.6% | -2.3% | +6.6% | +8.3% | +14.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $432K | $431K | $435K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $656K | $715K | $780K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$432K to $656K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$435K to $780K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | +15.6% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041900) | $515K | $580K | +12.8% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042000) | $505K | $555K | +9.9% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041329) | $517K | $550K | +6.4% | |
| Battle Ground | $502K | $522K | +4.1% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042100) | $523K | $535K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | +15.6% | |
| Orchards (Tract 040712) | $484K | $593K | +22.5% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041310) | $641K | $757K | +18.1% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041323) | $460K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Orchards (Tract 041334) | $624K | $724K | +16.2% | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041309) | $592K | $687K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salmon Creek | $504K | $583K | $344K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041800) | $384K | $426K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041600) | $307K | $339K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041005) | $333K | $349K | $187K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 042700) | $375K | $421K | $186K | |
| Vancouver (Tract 041312) | $312K | $333K | $171K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
