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Chelan, WA · ZIP 98831 · Census Tract 53007960400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$669K
Downside (P10)
$581K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$742K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$917K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $259K | $267K | $271K | $279K | $280K | $290K | $373K | $505K | $661K | $658K | $669K | $694K | $725K | $742K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$410,474 | -$401,974 | -$397,874 | -$390,074 | -$389,374 | -$379,174 | -$296,174 | -$164,374 | -$8,774 | -$11,374 | +$24,858 | +$56,043 | +$72,864 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.3% | -60.1% | -59.4% | -58.3% | -58.2% | -56.7% | -44.3% | -24.6% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +3.7% | +8.4% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $581K | $581K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $811K | $889K | $917K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$591K to $811K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$581K to $917K
45.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | +12.4% | |
| Leavenworth-Lake Wenatchee | $656K | $762K | +16.2% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960801) | $620K | $707K | +14.1% | |
| Chelan | $710K | $780K | +9.8% | |
| Cashmere | $655K | $711K | +8.5% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960700) | $709K | $755K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | +12.4% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961301) | $519K | $613K | +18.0% | |
| Leavenworth-Lake Wenatchee | $656K | $762K | +16.2% | |
| Chelan | $397K | $461K | +16.0% | |
| Cashmere | $448K | $518K | +15.6% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960801) | $620K | $707K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | $336K | |
| Cashmere | $448K | $518K | $247K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961303) | $450K | $492K | $239K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961102) | $415K | $465K | $239K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961001) | $384K | $436K | $221K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961101) | $382K | $417K | $186K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chelan, WA · ZIP 98831 · Census Tract 53007960400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$669K
Downside (P10)
$581K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$742K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$917K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $259K | $267K | $271K | $279K | $280K | $290K | $373K | $505K | $661K | $658K | $669K | $694K | $725K | $742K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$410,474 | -$401,974 | -$397,874 | -$390,074 | -$389,374 | -$379,174 | -$296,174 | -$164,374 | -$8,774 | -$11,374 | +$24,858 | +$56,043 | +$72,864 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.3% | -60.1% | -59.4% | -58.3% | -58.2% | -56.7% | -44.3% | -24.6% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +3.7% | +8.4% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $581K | $581K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $811K | $889K | $917K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$591K to $811K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$581K to $917K
45.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | +12.4% | |
| Leavenworth-Lake Wenatchee | $656K | $762K | +16.2% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960801) | $620K | $707K | +14.1% | |
| Chelan | $710K | $780K | +9.8% | |
| Cashmere | $655K | $711K | +8.5% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960700) | $709K | $755K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | +12.4% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961301) | $519K | $613K | +18.0% | |
| Leavenworth-Lake Wenatchee | $656K | $762K | +16.2% | |
| Chelan | $397K | $461K | +16.0% | |
| Cashmere | $448K | $518K | +15.6% | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 960801) | $620K | $707K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manson | $660K | $742K | $336K | |
| Cashmere | $448K | $518K | $247K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961303) | $450K | $492K | $239K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961102) | $415K | $465K | $239K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961001) | $384K | $436K | $221K | |
| Wenatchee (Tract 961101) | $382K | $417K | $186K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
