Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Orleans, VT · ZIP 05860 · Census Tract 50019951900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$229K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$248K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$327K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $167K | $175K | $177K | $170K | $168K | $165K | $191K | $201K | $225K | $229K | $240K | $245K | $248K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,197 | -$62,397 | -$54,897 | -$52,997 | -$59,997 | -$61,997 | -$64,997 | -$38,697 | -$28,097 | -$4,197 | +$10,880 | +$15,867 | +$18,628 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.2% | -27.2% | -23.9% | -23.1% | -26.1% | -27.0% | -28.3% | -16.9% | -12.2% | -1.8% | +4.7% | +6.9% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $203K | $202K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $294K | $323K | $327K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$203K to $294K
37.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $327K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | +7.5% | |
| Derby (Tract 951200) | $220K | $246K | +12.0% | |
| Derby (Tract 951300) | $247K | $274K | +10.9% | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | +9.8% | |
| Morgan area | $247K | $269K | +8.9% | |
| Albany area | $232K | $248K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | +7.5% | |
| Derby (Tract 951200) | $220K | $246K | +12.0% | |
| Greensboro area | $301K | $335K | +11.0% | |
| Derby (Tract 951300) | $247K | $274K | +10.9% | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | +9.8% | |
| Morgan area | $247K | $269K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | $126K | |
| Newport (Tract 951500) | $187K | $202K | $132K | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | $131K | |
| Derby | $220K | $246K | $130K | |
| Albany area | $232K | $248K | $119K | |
| Newport (Tract 951400) | $173K | $188K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orleans, VT · ZIP 05860 · Census Tract 50019951900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$229K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$248K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$327K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $167K | $175K | $177K | $170K | $168K | $165K | $191K | $201K | $225K | $229K | $240K | $245K | $248K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,197 | -$62,397 | -$54,897 | -$52,997 | -$59,997 | -$61,997 | -$64,997 | -$38,697 | -$28,097 | -$4,197 | +$10,880 | +$15,867 | +$18,628 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.2% | -27.2% | -23.9% | -23.1% | -26.1% | -27.0% | -28.3% | -16.9% | -12.2% | -1.8% | +4.7% | +6.9% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $203K | $202K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $294K | $323K | $327K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$203K to $294K
37.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $327K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | +7.5% | |
| Derby (Tract 951200) | $220K | $246K | +12.0% | |
| Derby (Tract 951300) | $247K | $274K | +10.9% | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | +9.8% | |
| Morgan area | $247K | $269K | +8.9% | |
| Albany area | $232K | $248K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | +7.5% | |
| Derby (Tract 951200) | $220K | $246K | +12.0% | |
| Greensboro area | $301K | $335K | +11.0% | |
| Derby (Tract 951300) | $247K | $274K | +10.9% | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | +9.8% | |
| Morgan area | $247K | $269K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownington area | $231K | $248K | $126K | |
| Newport (Tract 951500) | $187K | $202K | $132K | |
| Troy area | $249K | $273K | $131K | |
| Derby | $220K | $246K | $130K | |
| Albany area | $232K | $248K | $119K | |
| Newport (Tract 951400) | $173K | $188K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
