Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Suffolk, VA · ZIP 23434 · Census Tract 51800075405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$439K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$522K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $250K | $265K | $285K | $305K | $315K | $301K | $326K | $353K | $366K | $386K | $384K | $388K | $428K | $439K | $401K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,043 | -$119,143 | -$98,843 | -$78,843 | -$69,043 | -$82,943 | -$58,243 | -$30,643 | -$18,243 | +$1,957 | +$3,843 | +$43,556 | +$55,420 | +$17,133 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -31.0% | -25.7% | -20.5% | -18.0% | -21.6% | -15.2% | -8.0% | -4.8% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +11.3% | +14.4% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $341K | $337K | $327K | $351K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $462K | $499K | $522K | $451K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$341K to $462K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$351K to $451K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | +12.7% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075205) | $392K | $462K | +18.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075402) | $368K | $405K | +10.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075106) | $369K | $394K | +6.8% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075302) | $396K | $416K | +5.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075203) | $394K | $412K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | +12.7% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075208) | $427K | $515K | +20.6% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075205) | $392K | $462K | +18.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075703) | $348K | $394K | +13.3% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075202) | $446K | $500K | +12.1% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075602) | $303K | $339K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | $195K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075206) | $279K | $307K | $140K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065302) | $230K | $256K | $135K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065100) | $232K | $249K | $124K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065401) | $217K | $232K | $117K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065500) | $211K | $217K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Suffolk, VA · ZIP 23434 · Census Tract 51800075405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$439K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$522K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $250K | $265K | $285K | $305K | $315K | $301K | $326K | $353K | $366K | $386K | $384K | $388K | $428K | $439K | $401K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,043 | -$119,143 | -$98,843 | -$78,843 | -$69,043 | -$82,943 | -$58,243 | -$30,643 | -$18,243 | +$1,957 | +$3,843 | +$43,556 | +$55,420 | +$17,133 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -31.0% | -25.7% | -20.5% | -18.0% | -21.6% | -15.2% | -8.0% | -4.8% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +11.3% | +14.4% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $341K | $337K | $327K | $351K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $462K | $499K | $522K | $451K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$341K to $462K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$351K to $451K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | +12.7% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075205) | $392K | $462K | +18.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075402) | $368K | $405K | +10.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075106) | $369K | $394K | +6.8% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075302) | $396K | $416K | +5.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075203) | $394K | $412K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | +12.7% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075208) | $427K | $515K | +20.6% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075205) | $392K | $462K | +18.0% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075703) | $348K | $394K | +13.3% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075202) | $446K | $500K | +12.1% | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075602) | $303K | $339K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk | $390K | $439K | $195K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 075206) | $279K | $307K | $140K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065302) | $230K | $256K | $135K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065100) | $232K | $249K | $124K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065401) | $217K | $232K | $117K | |
| Suffolk (Tract 065500) | $211K | $217K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
