What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51800075105 in Suffolk · 23435 · (Tract 751.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $497,917 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51800075105 in Suffolk · 23435 · (Tract 751.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $497,917 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

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Parcel 51800075105 (Suffolk) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51800075105, Suffolk · 23435 · (Tract 751.5) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, VA · ZIP 23435 · Census Tract 51800075105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$498K

Downside (P10)

$427K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$542K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$749K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$521K	$533K	$571K	$500K	$485K	$498K	$505K	$516K	$542K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$23,083	+$35,083	+$72,983	+$1,783	-$13,217		+$6,935	+$18,425	+$43,867
Growth % vs 2026	+4.6%	+7.0%	+14.7%	+0.4%	-2.7%		+1.4%	+3.7%	+8.8%
Downside (P10)							$446K	$433K	$427K
Upside (P90)							$602K	$694K	$749K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$446K to $602K

31.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$427K to $749K

59.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.8% · Spread: 60%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51800075105, Suffolk · 23435 · (Tract 751.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).