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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Spotsylvania, VA · ZIP 22551 · Census Tract 51177020403 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$429K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$565K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $194K | $216K | $215K | $236K | $248K | $273K | $277K | $297K | $347K | $377K | $388K | $398K | $419K | $429K |
| YoY Change | +11.2% | -0.3% | +9.8% | +5.1% | +10.0% | +1.5% | +6.9% | +17.0% | +8.6% | +2.9% | +2.6% | +5.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $342K | $334K | $325K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $488K | $517K | $565K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$342K to $488K
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$325K to $565K
56.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley | $384K | $429K | +11.6% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 020311) | $377K | $422K | +11.8% | |
| Salem (Tract 020114) | $395K | $435K | +10.3% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 020404) | $396K | $435K | +9.9% | |
| Salem (Tract 020308) | $398K | $437K | +9.7% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 020207) | $396K | $430K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley | $384K | $429K | +11.6% | |
| Battlefield (Tract 020309) | $443K | $522K | +17.7% | |
| Battlefield (Tract 020107) | $462K | $533K | +15.2% | |
| Chancellor (Tract 020408) | $361K | $412K | +14.1% | |
| Chancellor (Tract 020112) | $412K | $470K | +14.0% | |
| Lee Hill | $505K | $570K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley | $384K | $429K | $240K | |
| Livingston | $420K | $450K | $191K | |
| Salem | $335K | $363K | $190K | |
| Courtland (Tract 020109) | $367K | $364K | $187K | |
| Courtland (Tract 020304) | $344K | $371K | $183K | |
| Battlefield area | $331K | $336K | $179K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.