What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51165010802 in Plains?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $268,999 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51165010802 in Plains?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $268,999 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.6%.

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Parcel 51165010802 (Plains) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51165010802, Plains Home Price Forecast

Rockingham, VA · ZIP 22853 · Census Tract 51165010802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$269K

Downside (P10)

$223K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$308K

+15% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$363K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$165K	$176K	$207K	$226K	$254K	$269K	$276K	$288K	$308K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$103,999	-$92,899	-$61,799	-$42,799	-$15,499		+$6,983	+$19,300	+$39,213
Growth % vs 2026	-38.7%	-34.5%	-23.0%	-15.9%	-5.8%		+2.6%	+7.2%	+14.6%
Downside (P10)							$239K	$226K	$223K
Upside (P90)							$325K	$342K	$363K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$239K to $325K

31.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$223K to $363K

45.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.6% · Spread: 46%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51165010802, Plains on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).