What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51165010801 in Plains?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $257,544 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51165010801 in Plains?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $257,544 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

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Parcel 51165010801 (Plains) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51165010801, Plains Home Price Forecast

Rockingham, VA · ZIP 22815 · Census Tract 51165010801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$258K

Downside (P10)

$222K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$268K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$338K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$187K	$186K	$225K	$236K	$254K	$258K	$261K	$265K	$268K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$70,444	-$71,744	-$32,244	-$21,244	-$3,544		+$3,461	+$7,811	+$10,251
Growth % vs 2026	-27.4%	-27.9%	-12.5%	-8.2%	-1.4%		+1.3%	+3.0%	+4.0%
Downside (P10)							$224K	$226K	$222K
Upside (P90)							$301K	$317K	$338K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$224K to $301K

29.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$222K to $338K

43.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.0% · Spread: 43%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51165010801, Plains on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).