What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51153901704 in Sudley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $425,877 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51153901704 in Sudley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $425,877 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.9%.

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Parcel 51153901704 (Sudley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51153901704, Sudley Home Price Forecast

Prince William, VA · ZIP 20109 · Census Tract 51153901704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$426K

Downside (P10)

$377K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$481K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$659K

+55% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$319K	$352K	$418K	$427K	$419K	$426K	$441K	$445K	$481K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$106,777	-$73,977	-$8,377	+$823	-$7,177		+$15,208	+$19,517	+$55,103
Growth % vs 2026	-25.1%	-17.4%	-2.0%	+0.2%	-1.7%		+3.6%	+4.6%	+12.9%
Downside (P10)							$360K	$374K	$377K
Upside (P90)							$515K	$574K	$659K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$360K to $515K

35.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$377K to $659K

58.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.9% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51153901704, Sudley on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).