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Prince William, VA · ZIP 20169 · Census Tract 51153901510 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$762K
Downside (P10)
$602K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$767K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $482K | $519K | $548K | $536K | $532K | $545K | $548K | $653K | $708K | $761K | $762K | $777K | $786K | $767K |
| YoY Change | +7.6% | +5.6% | -2.1% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +19.3% | +8.4% | +7.5% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +1.1% | -2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $678K | $644K | $602K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $952K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$678K to $952K
35.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$602K to $1.11M
66.4% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources