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Prince George, VA · ZIP 23875 · Census Tract 51149850301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$281K
Downside (P10)
$223K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$304K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$432K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $190K | $184K | $190K | $198K | $207K | $220K | $231K | $247K | $274K | $283K | $281K | $282K | $296K | $304K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,839 | -$97,439 | -$90,739 | -$83,039 | -$74,139 | -$61,339 | -$49,839 | -$33,939 | -$6,939 | +$2,161 | +$1,426 | +$14,698 | +$23,208 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.3% | -34.7% | -32.3% | -29.5% | -26.4% | -21.8% | -17.7% | -12.1% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $218K | $218K | $223K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $372K | $402K | $432K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$218K to $372K
54.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$223K to $432K
68.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | +8.7% | |
| Templeton | $326K | $378K | +16.0% | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | +15.7% | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | +10.7% | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | +10.2% | |
| Rives | $254K | $268K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | +8.7% | |
| Templeton | $326K | $378K | +16.0% | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | +15.7% | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | +10.7% | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | +10.2% | |
| Bland (Tract 850200) | $188K | $207K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | $209K | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | $171K | |
| Rives | $254K | $268K | $157K | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | $150K | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | $147K | |
| Bland (Tract 850200) | $188K | $207K | $105K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Prince George, VA · ZIP 23875 · Census Tract 51149850301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$281K
Downside (P10)
$223K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$304K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$432K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $190K | $184K | $190K | $198K | $207K | $220K | $231K | $247K | $274K | $283K | $281K | $282K | $296K | $304K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,839 | -$97,439 | -$90,739 | -$83,039 | -$74,139 | -$61,339 | -$49,839 | -$33,939 | -$6,939 | +$2,161 | +$1,426 | +$14,698 | +$23,208 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.3% | -34.7% | -32.3% | -29.5% | -26.4% | -21.8% | -17.7% | -12.1% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $218K | $218K | $223K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $372K | $402K | $432K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$218K to $372K
54.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$223K to $432K
68.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | +8.7% | |
| Templeton | $326K | $378K | +16.0% | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | +15.7% | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | +10.7% | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | +10.2% | |
| Rives | $254K | $268K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | +8.7% | |
| Templeton | $326K | $378K | +16.0% | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | +15.7% | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | +10.7% | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | +10.2% | |
| Bland (Tract 850200) | $188K | $207K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bland · Prince George · (Tract 8503.1) | $280K | $304K | $209K | |
| Blackwater area | $327K | $361K | $171K | |
| Rives | $254K | $268K | $157K | |
| Bland (Tract 850302) | $312K | $361K | $150K | |
| Bland (Tract 850100) | $225K | $249K | $147K | |
| Bland (Tract 850200) | $188K | $207K | $105K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
