What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51145500202 in 4?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $470,601 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51145500202 in 4?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $470,601 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

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Parcel 51145500202 (4) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51145500202, 4 Home Price Forecast

Powhatan, VA · ZIP 23139 · Census Tract 51145500202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$471K

Downside (P10)

$403K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$524K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$637K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$306K	$335K	$373K	$405K	$447K	$471K	$481K	$511K	$524K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$164,701	-$135,701	-$98,101	-$65,201	-$23,501		+$10,269	+$40,837	+$53,425
Growth % vs 2026	-35.0%	-28.8%	-20.8%	-13.9%	-5.0%		+2.2%	+8.7%	+11.4%
Downside (P10)							$415K	$432K	$403K
Upside (P90)							$580K	$611K	$637K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$415K to $580K

34.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$403K to $637K

44.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.4% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51145500202, 4 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).