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Pittsylvania, VA · ZIP 24161 · Census Tract 51143010302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$148K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$162K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$221K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $133K | $154K | $123K | $145K | $148K | $149K | $160K | $162K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$21,227 | -$14,927 | +$6,173 | -$25,027 | -$3,027 | +$1,329 | +$11,800 | +$14,005 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -14.4% | -10.1% | +4.2% | -16.9% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +8.0% | +9.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $120K | $121K | $121K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $193K | $202K | $221K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$120K to $193K
48.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$121K to $221K
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | +10.6% | |
| Chatham-Blairs area | $148K | $169K | +13.9% | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010100) | $152K | $163K | +7.1% | |
| Banister | $150K | $160K | +6.2% | |
| Callands-Gretna | $150K | $156K | +4.3% | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010200) | $141K | $147K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | +10.6% | |
| Westover area (Tract 011200) | $155K | $179K | +15.4% | |
| Dan River area | $162K | $185K | +14.2% | |
| Chatham-Blairs area | $148K | $169K | +13.9% | |
| Tunstall | $190K | $210K | +10.2% | |
| Westover area (Tract 011302) | $264K | $290K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | $100K | |
| Westover area | $155K | $179K | $84K | |
| Callands-Gretna | $125K | $135K | $80K | |
| Banister area | $176K | $191K | $79K | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010200) | $141K | $147K | $74K | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010301) | $104K | $113K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pittsylvania, VA · ZIP 24161 · Census Tract 51143010302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$148K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$162K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$221K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $133K | $154K | $123K | $145K | $148K | $149K | $160K | $162K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$21,227 | -$14,927 | +$6,173 | -$25,027 | -$3,027 | +$1,329 | +$11,800 | +$14,005 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -14.4% | -10.1% | +4.2% | -16.9% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +8.0% | +9.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $120K | $121K | $121K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $193K | $202K | $221K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$120K to $193K
48.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$121K to $221K
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | +10.6% | |
| Chatham-Blairs area | $148K | $169K | +13.9% | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010100) | $152K | $163K | +7.1% | |
| Banister | $150K | $160K | +6.2% | |
| Callands-Gretna | $150K | $156K | +4.3% | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010200) | $141K | $147K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | +10.6% | |
| Westover area (Tract 011200) | $155K | $179K | +15.4% | |
| Dan River area | $162K | $185K | +14.2% | |
| Chatham-Blairs area | $148K | $169K | +13.9% | |
| Tunstall | $190K | $210K | +10.2% | |
| Westover area (Tract 011302) | $264K | $290K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callands-Gretna | $146K | $162K | $100K | |
| Westover area | $155K | $179K | $84K | |
| Callands-Gretna | $125K | $135K | $80K | |
| Banister area | $176K | $191K | $79K | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010200) | $141K | $147K | $74K | |
| Staunton River (Tract 010301) | $104K | $113K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
