What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51141030101 in Smith River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,124 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51141030101 in Smith River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,124 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

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Parcel 51141030101 (Smith River) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51141030101, Smith River Home Price Forecast

Patrick, VA · ZIP 24185 · Census Tract 51141030101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$172K

Downside (P10)

$148K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$181K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$252K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$109K	$118K	$152K	$167K	$167K	$172K	$177K	$174K	$181K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$62,724	-$53,924	-$20,524	-$5,124	-$5,324		+$4,742	+$2,357	+$9,117
Growth % vs 2026	-36.4%	-31.3%	-11.9%	-3.0%	-3.1%		+2.8%	+1.4%	+5.3%
Downside (P10)							$149K	$150K	$148K
Upside (P90)							$208K	$247K	$252K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$149K to $208K

33.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$148K to $252K

57.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.3% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51141030101, Smith River on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).