What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51095080209 in Jamestown · Williamsburg · (Tract 802.9)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $607,631 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51095080209 in Jamestown · Williamsburg · (Tract 802.9)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $607,631 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.1%.

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Parcel 51095080209 (Jamestown) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51095080209, Jamestown · Williamsburg · (Tract 802.9) Home Price Forecast

James, VA · ZIP 23188 · Census Tract 51095080209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$608K

Downside (P10)

$532K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$645K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$799K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$377K	$451K	$609K	$609K	$596K	$608K	$625K	$633K	$645K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$230,231	-$156,831	+$1,469	+$1,169	-$11,831		+$17,637	+$25,723	+$37,299
Growth % vs 2026	-37.9%	-25.8%	+0.2%	+0.2%	-1.9%		+2.9%	+4.2%	+6.1%
Downside (P10)							$543K	$544K	$532K
Upside (P90)							$723K	$787K	$799K

Forecast Confidence

77%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$543K to $723K

28.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$532K to $799K

41.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.1% · Spread: 41%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51095080209, Jamestown · Williamsburg · (Tract 802.9) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).