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Henry, VA · ZIP 24054 · Census Tract 51089010400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$124K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$161K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$207K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $96K | $96K | $100K | $100K | $111K | $113K | $141K | $139K | $149K | $153K | $153K | $158K | $161K | $154K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$60,648 | -$57,248 | -$57,648 | -$53,348 | -$53,548 | -$42,448 | -$40,448 | -$12,948 | -$14,648 | -$4,148 | -$455 | +$4,634 | +$7,920 | +$579 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -37.3% | -37.6% | -34.8% | -34.9% | -27.7% | -26.4% | -8.4% | -9.5% | -2.7% | -0.3% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $130K | $128K | $124K | $135K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $186K | $204K | $207K | $175K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$130K to $186K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$135K to $175K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | +7.3% | |
| Collinsville | $163K | $186K | +14.5% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 010602) | $153K | $174K | +13.9% | |
| Reed Creek area | $169K | $184K | +8.7% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 010601) | $148K | $161K | +8.5% | |
| Reed Creek | $130K | $137K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | +7.3% | |
| Collinsville | $163K | $186K | +14.5% | |
| Horsepasture | $108K | $124K | +14.4% | |
| Blackberry | $114K | $130K | +14.3% | |
| Ridgeway | $153K | $174K | +13.9% | |
| Iriswood | $110K | $123K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | $83K | |
| Iriswood | $110K | $123K | $72K | |
| Reed Creek | $130K | $137K | $70K | |
| Horsepasture | $108K | $124K | $66K | |
| Collinsville | $122K | $121K | $61K | |
| Blackberry | $103K | $104K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Henry, VA · ZIP 24054 · Census Tract 51089010400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$124K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$161K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$207K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $96K | $96K | $100K | $100K | $111K | $113K | $141K | $139K | $149K | $153K | $153K | $158K | $161K | $154K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$60,648 | -$57,248 | -$57,648 | -$53,348 | -$53,548 | -$42,448 | -$40,448 | -$12,948 | -$14,648 | -$4,148 | -$455 | +$4,634 | +$7,920 | +$579 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -37.3% | -37.6% | -34.8% | -34.9% | -27.7% | -26.4% | -8.4% | -9.5% | -2.7% | -0.3% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $130K | $128K | $124K | $135K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $186K | $204K | $207K | $175K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$130K to $186K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$135K to $175K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | +7.3% | |
| Collinsville | $163K | $186K | +14.5% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 010602) | $153K | $174K | +13.9% | |
| Reed Creek area | $169K | $184K | +8.7% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 010601) | $148K | $161K | +8.5% | |
| Reed Creek | $130K | $137K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | +7.3% | |
| Collinsville | $163K | $186K | +14.5% | |
| Horsepasture | $108K | $124K | +14.4% | |
| Blackberry | $114K | $130K | +14.3% | |
| Ridgeway | $153K | $174K | +13.9% | |
| Iriswood | $110K | $123K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iriswood · Axton · (Tract 104) | $150K | $161K | $83K | |
| Iriswood | $110K | $123K | $72K | |
| Reed Creek | $130K | $137K | $70K | |
| Horsepasture | $108K | $124K | $66K | |
| Collinsville | $122K | $121K | $61K | |
| Blackberry | $103K | $104K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
