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Hampton, VA · ZIP 23661 · Census Tract 51650011500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$328K
Downside (P10)
$265K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $229K | $227K | $227K | $231K | $231K | $228K | $269K | $288K | $316K | $328K | $343K | $355K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,245 | -$99,345 | -$101,245 | -$101,345 | -$97,045 | -$97,545 | -$99,945 | -$59,445 | -$40,445 | -$12,245 | +$15,315 | +$27,340 | +$36,975 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.2% | -30.3% | -30.9% | -30.9% | -29.6% | -29.7% | -30.5% | -18.1% | -12.3% | -3.7% | +4.7% | +8.3% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $262K | $268K | $265K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $419K | $462K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$262K to $419K
45.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$265K to $491K
62.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010504) | $285K | $317K | +11.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010502) | $337K | $372K | +10.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010304) | $308K | $325K | +5.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010103) | $286K | $301K | +5.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 012100) | $322K | $333K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010703) | $280K | $313K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | $227K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hampton, VA · ZIP 23661 · Census Tract 51650011500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$328K
Downside (P10)
$265K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $229K | $227K | $227K | $231K | $231K | $228K | $269K | $288K | $316K | $328K | $343K | $355K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,245 | -$99,345 | -$101,245 | -$101,345 | -$97,045 | -$97,545 | -$99,945 | -$59,445 | -$40,445 | -$12,245 | +$15,315 | +$27,340 | +$36,975 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.2% | -30.3% | -30.9% | -30.9% | -29.6% | -29.7% | -30.5% | -18.1% | -12.3% | -3.7% | +4.7% | +8.3% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $262K | $268K | $265K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $419K | $462K | $491K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$262K to $419K
45.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$265K to $491K
62.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010504) | $285K | $317K | +11.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010502) | $337K | $372K | +10.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010304) | $308K | $325K | +5.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010103) | $286K | $301K | +5.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 012100) | $322K | $333K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010703) | $280K | $313K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23661 · (Tract 115) | $326K | $365K | $227K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
