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Hampton, VA · ZIP 23669 · Census Tract 51650010602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$163K
Downside (P10)
$138K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$237K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $115K | $121K | $126K | $121K | $117K | $113K | $123K | $139K | $150K | $154K | $163K | $158K | $169K | $177K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,066 | -$41,866 | -$36,766 | -$41,166 | -$45,366 | -$50,066 | -$39,166 | -$23,966 | -$12,866 | -$8,166 | -$4,470 | +$6,558 | +$14,686 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.6% | -25.8% | -22.6% | -25.3% | -27.9% | -30.8% | -24.1% | -14.7% | -7.9% | -5.0% | -2.7% | +4.0% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $141K | $134K | $138K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $189K | $224K | $237K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$141K to $189K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$138K to $237K
55.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010314) | $191K | $212K | +11.2% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | +10.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010316) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010702) | $170K | $173K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011500) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010703) | $280K | $313K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 012000) | $197K | $217K | $107K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hampton, VA · ZIP 23669 · Census Tract 51650010602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$163K
Downside (P10)
$138K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$237K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $115K | $121K | $126K | $121K | $117K | $113K | $123K | $139K | $150K | $154K | $163K | $158K | $169K | $177K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,066 | -$41,866 | -$36,766 | -$41,166 | -$45,366 | -$50,066 | -$39,166 | -$23,966 | -$12,866 | -$8,166 | -$4,470 | +$6,558 | +$14,686 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.6% | -25.8% | -22.6% | -25.3% | -27.9% | -30.8% | -24.1% | -14.7% | -7.9% | -5.0% | -2.7% | +4.0% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $141K | $134K | $138K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $189K | $224K | $237K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$141K to $189K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$138K to $237K
55.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010314) | $191K | $212K | +11.2% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | +10.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010316) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010702) | $170K | $173K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011500) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010703) | $280K | $313K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23669 · (Tract 106.2) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 012000) | $197K | $217K | $107K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
