What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51069051104 in Red Bud area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $485,579 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51069051104 in Red Bud area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $485,579 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.9%.

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Parcel 51069051104 (Red Bud area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51069051104, Red Bud area Home Price Forecast

Frederick, VA · ZIP 22656 · Census Tract 51069051104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$486K

Downside (P10)

$416K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$543K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$692K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$332K	$347K	$417K	$431K	$461K	$486K	$505K	$532K	$543K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$153,279	-$138,379	-$69,079	-$54,979	-$25,079		+$18,995	+$45,949	+$57,850
Growth % vs 2026	-31.6%	-28.5%	-14.2%	-11.3%	-5.2%		+3.9%	+9.5%	+11.9%
Downside (P10)							$440K	$432K	$416K
Upside (P90)							$589K	$636K	$692K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$440K to $589K

29.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$416K to $692K

50.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.9% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51069051104, Red Bud area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).