What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51061930102 in Scott?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $918,104 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51061930102 in Scott?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $918,104 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.5%.

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Parcel 51061930102 (Scott) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51061930102, Scott Home Price Forecast

Fauquier, VA · ZIP 20198 · Census Tract 51061930102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$918K

Downside (P10)

$759K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$978K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.24M

+35% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$701K	$586K	$934K	$1.0M	$864K	$918K	$923K	$937K	$978K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$216,904	-$332,404	+$16,296	+$96,396	-$53,904		+$4,538	+$18,487	+$59,848
Growth % vs 2026	-23.6%	-36.2%	+1.8%	+10.5%	-5.9%		+0.5%	+2.0%	+6.5%
Downside (P10)							$764K	$737K	$759K
Upside (P90)							$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.2M

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$764K to $1.1M

35.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$759K to $1.2M

49.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.5% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51061930102, Scott on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).