What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51053840102 in 5 area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $210,599 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51053840102 in 5 area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $210,599 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

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Parcel 51053840102 (5 area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51053840102, 5 area Home Price Forecast

Dinwiddie, VA · ZIP 23872 · Census Tract 51053840102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$211K

Downside (P10)

$178K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$226K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$284K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$165K	$124K	$181K	$194K	$201K	$211K	$215K	$222K	$226K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$45,999	-$86,599	-$30,099	-$16,399	-$9,299		+$4,552	+$11,260	+$15,158
Growth % vs 2026	-21.8%	-41.1%	-14.3%	-7.8%	-4.4%		+2.2%	+5.3%	+7.2%
Downside (P10)							$183K	$187K	$178K
Upside (P90)							$254K	$261K	$284K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$183K to $254K

32.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$178K to $284K

46.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.2% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51053840102, 5 area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).