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Chesapeake, VA · ZIP 23320 · Census Tract 51550020912 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$281K
Downside (P10)
$240K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$294K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$401K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $173K | $237K | $221K | $274K | $281K | $291K | $298K | $294K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$125,183 | -$108,183 | -$44,983 | -$60,183 | -$7,083 | +$9,905 | +$16,780 | +$12,824 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.5% | -38.4% | -16.0% | -21.4% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +6.0% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $243K | $242K | $240K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $350K | $390K | $401K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$243K to $350K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$240K to $401K
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | +5.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020600) | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020903) | $285K | $310K | +8.8% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021403) | $279K | $300K | +7.7% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020500) | $283K | $299K | +5.6% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021406) | $279K | $281K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | +5.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021503) | $452K | $545K | +20.6% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020600) | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021103) | $541K | $634K | +17.1% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020200) | $231K | $264K | +14.3% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021603) | $480K | $548K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | $161K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021602) | $248K | $276K | $126K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020809) | $249K | $259K | $123K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020100) | $234K | $247K | $122K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020905) | $262K | $284K | $115K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020700) | $209K | $207K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chesapeake, VA · ZIP 23320 · Census Tract 51550020912 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$281K
Downside (P10)
$240K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$294K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$401K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $173K | $237K | $221K | $274K | $281K | $291K | $298K | $294K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$125,183 | -$108,183 | -$44,983 | -$60,183 | -$7,083 | +$9,905 | +$16,780 | +$12,824 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.5% | -38.4% | -16.0% | -21.4% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +6.0% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $243K | $242K | $240K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $350K | $390K | $401K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$243K to $350K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$240K to $401K
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | +5.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020600) | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020903) | $285K | $310K | +8.8% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021403) | $279K | $300K | +7.7% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020500) | $283K | $299K | +5.6% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021406) | $279K | $281K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | +5.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021503) | $452K | $545K | +20.6% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020600) | $280K | $329K | +17.5% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021103) | $541K | $634K | +17.1% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020200) | $231K | $264K | +14.3% | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021603) | $480K | $548K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesapeake | $279K | $294K | $161K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 021602) | $248K | $276K | $126K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020809) | $249K | $259K | $123K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020100) | $234K | $247K | $122K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020905) | $262K | $284K | $115K | |
| Chesapeake (Tract 020700) | $209K | $207K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
