What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51017920102 in Cedar Creek area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $222,834 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51017920102 in Cedar Creek area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $222,834 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 51017920102 (Cedar Creek area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51017920102, Cedar Creek area Home Price Forecast

Bath, VA · ZIP 24445 · Census Tract 51017920102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$223K

Downside (P10)

$187K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$238K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$313K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$154K	$159K	$188K	$210K	$211K	$223K	$228K	$240K	$238K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$68,634	-$63,734	-$35,134	-$12,734	-$12,134		+$5,063	+$16,894	+$15,148
Growth % vs 2026	-30.8%	-28.6%	-15.8%	-5.7%	-5.4%		+2.3%	+7.6%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$186K	$182K	$187K
Upside (P90)							$283K	$292K	$313K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$186K to $283K

42.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$187K to $313K

53.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51017920102, Cedar Creek area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).