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Augusta, VA · ZIP 24401 · Census Tract 51015070900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$406K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$515K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $199K | $200K | $230K | $254K | $262K | $263K | $263K | $283K | $294K | $340K | $351K | $365K | $393K | $406K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$151,784 | -$150,884 | -$121,084 | -$97,184 | -$88,584 | -$87,884 | -$87,784 | -$67,984 | -$56,684 | -$10,284 | +$13,977 | +$42,682 | +$54,856 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -43.0% | -34.5% | -27.7% | -25.3% | -25.1% | -25.0% | -19.4% | -16.2% | -2.9% | +4.0% | +12.2% | +15.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $310K | $314K | $309K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $432K | $463K | $515K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$310K to $432K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$309K to $515K
50.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Stuarts Draft | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| North River area | $338K | $364K | +7.6% | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% | |
| Beverley Manor area | $401K | $442K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | $206K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Augusta, VA · ZIP 24401 · Census Tract 51015070900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$406K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$515K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $199K | $200K | $230K | $254K | $262K | $263K | $263K | $283K | $294K | $340K | $351K | $365K | $393K | $406K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$151,784 | -$150,884 | -$121,084 | -$97,184 | -$88,584 | -$87,884 | -$87,784 | -$67,984 | -$56,684 | -$10,284 | +$13,977 | +$42,682 | +$54,856 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -43.0% | -34.5% | -27.7% | -25.3% | -25.1% | -25.0% | -19.4% | -16.2% | -2.9% | +4.0% | +12.2% | +15.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $310K | $314K | $309K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $432K | $463K | $515K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$310K to $432K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$309K to $515K
50.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Stuarts Draft | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| North River area | $338K | $364K | +7.6% | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% | |
| Beverley Manor area | $401K | $442K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | $206K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
