What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51003010301 in Hollymead?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $413,122 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51003010301 in Hollymead?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $413,122 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.3%.

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Parcel 51003010301 (Hollymead) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51003010301, Hollymead Home Price Forecast

Albemarle, VA · ZIP 22911 · Census Tract 51003010301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$413K

Downside (P10)

$378K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$484K

+17% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$597K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$269K	$282K	$340K	$354K	$384K	$413K	$433K	$467K	$484K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$143,822	-$130,822	-$72,822	-$59,222	-$29,422		+$19,712	+$54,269	+$71,296
Growth % vs 2026	-34.8%	-31.7%	-17.6%	-14.3%	-7.1%		+4.8%	+13.1%	+17.3%
Downside (P10)							$375K	$371K	$378K
Upside (P90)							$515K	$557K	$597K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$375K to $515K

32.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$378K to $597K

45.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +17.3% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 51003010301, Hollymead on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).