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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Weber, UT · ZIP 84403 · Census Tract 49057210800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$320K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$353K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$459K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $121K | $130K | $134K | $136K | $159K | $180K | $230K | $265K | $311K | $320K | $327K | $344K | $353K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +7.6% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +16.8% | +13.0% | +27.8% | +15.4% | +17.1% | +3.1% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $277K | $275K | $252K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $387K | $433K | $459K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$277K to $387K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $459K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Ogden | $318K | $353K | +10.8% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 211000) | $310K | $339K | +9.2% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200400) | $311K | $337K | +8.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201100) | $325K | $345K | +6.1% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201600) | $315K | $317K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Ogden | $318K | $353K | +10.8% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Ogden | $318K | $353K | $208K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.