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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Weber, UT · ZIP 84401 · Census Tract 49057200900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$298K
Downside (P10)
$253K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$312K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $119K | $106K | $122K | $154K | $173K | $207K | $235K | $244K | $294K | $298K | $311K | $313K | $312K |
| YoY Change | +9.6% | -10.9% | +14.8% | +26.1% | +12.2% | +19.9% | +13.6% | +3.8% | +20.6% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +0.6% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $259K | $257K | $253K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $376K | $396K | $413K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$259K to $376K
37.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$253K to $413K
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogden · 84401 · (Tract 2009) | $298K | $312K | +4.8% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | +11.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 211000) | $310K | $339K | +9.2% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200400) | $311K | $337K | +8.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200203) | $309K | $320K | +3.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201600) | $315K | $317K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogden · 84401 · (Tract 2009) | $298K | $312K | +4.8% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogden · 84401 · (Tract 2009) | $298K | $312K | $160K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.