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Weber, UT · ZIP 84315 · Census Tract 49057210516 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$630K
Downside (P10)
$536K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$707K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$950K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $318K | $363K | $465K | $571K | $658K | $630K | $665K | $687K | $707K |
| YoY Change | +14.1% | +28.3% | +22.8% | +15.3% | -4.3% | +5.6% | +3.2% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $567K | $563K | $536K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $800K | $930K | $950K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$567K to $800K
35.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$536K to $950K
58.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hooper | $669K | $707K | +5.8% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210517) | $630K | $694K | +10.0% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210304) | $597K | $655K | +9.7% | |
| Ogden (Tract 202000) | $639K | $681K | +6.5% | |
| Northwest Weber | $610K | $650K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hooper | $669K | $707K | +5.8% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hooper | $669K | $707K | $413K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.