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Utah, UT · ZIP 84003 · Census Tract 49049010700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$510K
Downside (P10)
$452K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$565K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$679K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $212K | $238K | $244K | $264K | $284K | $324K | $356K | $414K | $463K | $485K | $510K | $519K | $534K | $565K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$298,011 | -$271,511 | -$265,211 | -$245,211 | -$225,211 | -$185,911 | -$153,511 | -$95,611 | -$46,811 | -$24,811 | +$9,238 | +$24,988 | +$55,592 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.5% | -53.3% | -52.1% | -48.1% | -44.2% | -36.5% | -30.1% | -18.8% | -9.2% | -4.9% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $463K | $454K | $452K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $599K | $629K | $679K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$463K to $599K
26.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$452K to $679K
40.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | +13.1% | |
| Orem (Tract 001001) | $503K | $579K | +15.2% | |
| American Fork-Pleasant Grove | $500K | $564K | +12.7% | |
| Orem (Tract 001105) | $509K | $568K | +11.6% | |
| Spanish Fork-Payson | $510K | $568K | +11.2% | |
| Pleasant Grove | $509K | $554K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | +13.1% | |
| Lehi | $473K | $560K | +18.5% | |
| Provo | $499K | $591K | +18.4% | |
| Springville-Mapleton | $630K | $737K | +16.9% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Orem | $653K | $760K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | $227K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000400) | $459K | $477K | $171K | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | $160K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000203) | $479K | $503K | $147K | |
| Provo | $221K | $242K | $127K | |
| Provo-Orem | $221K | $230K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Utah, UT · ZIP 84003 · Census Tract 49049010700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$510K
Downside (P10)
$452K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$565K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$679K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $212K | $238K | $244K | $264K | $284K | $324K | $356K | $414K | $463K | $485K | $510K | $519K | $534K | $565K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$298,011 | -$271,511 | -$265,211 | -$245,211 | -$225,211 | -$185,911 | -$153,511 | -$95,611 | -$46,811 | -$24,811 | +$9,238 | +$24,988 | +$55,592 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.5% | -53.3% | -52.1% | -48.1% | -44.2% | -36.5% | -30.1% | -18.8% | -9.2% | -4.9% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $463K | $454K | $452K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $599K | $629K | $679K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$463K to $599K
26.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$452K to $679K
40.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | +13.1% | |
| Orem (Tract 001001) | $503K | $579K | +15.2% | |
| American Fork-Pleasant Grove | $500K | $564K | +12.7% | |
| Orem (Tract 001105) | $509K | $568K | +11.6% | |
| Spanish Fork-Payson | $510K | $568K | +11.2% | |
| Pleasant Grove | $509K | $554K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | +13.1% | |
| Lehi | $473K | $560K | +18.5% | |
| Provo | $499K | $591K | +18.4% | |
| Springville-Mapleton | $630K | $737K | +16.9% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Orem | $653K | $760K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Fork | $499K | $565K | $227K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000400) | $459K | $477K | $171K | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | $160K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000203) | $479K | $503K | $147K | |
| Provo | $221K | $242K | $127K | |
| Provo-Orem | $221K | $230K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
