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Utah, UT · ZIP 84057 · Census Tract 49049000801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$393K
Downside (P10)
$329K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$431K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$559K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $165K | $177K | $188K | $202K | $221K | $235K | $320K | $332K | $376K | $393K | $401K | $411K | $431K | $395K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$235,561 | -$227,761 | -$215,161 | -$204,461 | -$190,461 | -$172,061 | -$158,061 | -$72,661 | -$60,661 | -$16,661 | +$8,754 | +$18,176 | +$38,843 | +$2,312 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.0% | -58.0% | -54.8% | -52.1% | -48.5% | -43.8% | -40.3% | -18.5% | -15.5% | -4.2% | +2.2% | +4.6% | +9.9% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $340K | $339K | $329K | $348K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $523K | $559K | $449K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$340K to $472K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$348K to $449K
25.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | +11.8% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Provo (Tract 002206) | $397K | $436K | +10.0% | |
| Springville | $397K | $435K | +9.6% | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | +6.3% | |
| Provo (Tract 001404) | $396K | $421K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | +11.8% | |
| Lehi | $473K | $560K | +18.5% | |
| Provo | $499K | $591K | +18.4% | |
| Springville-Mapleton | $630K | $737K | +16.9% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Orem | $653K | $760K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | $230K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000400) | $459K | $477K | $171K | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | $160K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000203) | $479K | $503K | $147K | |
| Provo | $221K | $242K | $127K | |
| Provo-Orem | $221K | $230K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Utah, UT · ZIP 84057 · Census Tract 49049000801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$393K
Downside (P10)
$329K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$431K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$559K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $165K | $177K | $188K | $202K | $221K | $235K | $320K | $332K | $376K | $393K | $401K | $411K | $431K | $395K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$235,561 | -$227,761 | -$215,161 | -$204,461 | -$190,461 | -$172,061 | -$158,061 | -$72,661 | -$60,661 | -$16,661 | +$8,754 | +$18,176 | +$38,843 | +$2,312 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.0% | -58.0% | -54.8% | -52.1% | -48.5% | -43.8% | -40.3% | -18.5% | -15.5% | -4.2% | +2.2% | +4.6% | +9.9% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $340K | $339K | $329K | $348K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $523K | $559K | $449K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$340K to $472K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$348K to $449K
25.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | +11.8% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Provo (Tract 002206) | $397K | $436K | +10.0% | |
| Springville | $397K | $435K | +9.6% | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | +6.3% | |
| Provo (Tract 001404) | $396K | $421K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | +11.8% | |
| Lehi | $473K | $560K | +18.5% | |
| Provo | $499K | $591K | +18.4% | |
| Springville-Mapleton | $630K | $737K | +16.9% | |
| Payson | $388K | $453K | +16.6% | |
| Orem | $653K | $760K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orem · 84057 · (Tract 8.1) | $386K | $431K | $230K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000400) | $459K | $477K | $171K | |
| Lehi | $390K | $415K | $160K | |
| American Fork (Tract 000203) | $479K | $503K | $147K | |
| Provo | $221K | $242K | $127K | |
| Provo-Orem | $221K | $230K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
