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Tooele, UT · ZIP 84074 · Census Tract 49045131004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$318K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$482K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$696K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $225K | $239K | $293K | $400K | $419K | $442K | $439K | $474K | $482K |
| YoY Change | +6.6% | +22.6% | +36.3% | +4.6% | +5.6% | -0.6% | +7.9% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $352K | $352K | $318K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $578K | $625K | $696K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$352K to $578K
51.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$318K to $696K
78.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tooele · 84074 · (Tract 1310.4) | $422K | $482K | +14.3% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 131001) | $421K | $465K | +10.6% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 130706) | $474K | $521K | +10.0% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 130800) | $450K | $484K | +7.4% | |
| Rush Valley | $461K | $474K | +2.9% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 130705) | $477K | $481K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tooele · 84074 · (Tract 1310.4) | $422K | $482K | +14.3% | |
| Stansbury Park | $530K | $602K | +13.4% | |
| Tooele | $406K | $454K | +11.8% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 130701) | $638K | $708K | +11.0% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 131001) | $421K | $465K | +10.6% | |
| Tooele-Grantsville (Tract 130706) | $474K | $521K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tooele · 84074 · (Tract 1310.4) | $422K | $482K | $378K | |
| Tooele (Tract 130900) | $347K | $348K | $239K | |
| Tooele (Tract 131200) | $370K | $398K | $226K | |
| Tooele (Tract 131102) | $333K | $366K | $174K | |
| Tooele (Tract 131003) | $312K | $334K | $166K | |
| Dugway-Wendover | $177K | $180K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.