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Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84128 · Census Tract 49035113415 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$396K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$423K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$559K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $251K | $275K | $325K | $353K | $383K | $396K | $404K | $416K | $423K |
| YoY Change | +9.6% | +18.0% | +8.8% | +8.5% | +3.3% | +1.9% | +3.0% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $355K | $352K | $332K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $498K | $522K | $559K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$355K to $498K
35.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $559K
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Valley City | $397K | $423K | +6.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 114700) | $397K | $436K | +10.0% | |
| Kearns (Tract 113600) | $397K | $436K | +9.8% | |
| Kearns (Tract 113805) | $396K | $432K | +9.1% | |
| West Valley City | $398K | $431K | +8.2% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102300) | $396K | $416K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Valley City | $397K | $423K | +6.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| Taylorsville | $490K | $585K | +19.2% | |
| West Valley City | $337K | $402K | +19.1% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 113520) | $447K | $529K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Valley City | $397K | $423K | $228K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| West Jordan | $402K | $409K | $164K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K | |
| Taylorsville | $98K | $113K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.