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Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84116 · Census Tract 49035100600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$280K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$341K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$450K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $115K | $123K | $126K | $135K | $176K | $206K | $260K | $296K | $313K | $307K | $317K | $326K | $341K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$190,244 | -$191,144 | -$183,244 | -$180,844 | -$171,944 | -$131,044 | -$100,444 | -$46,644 | -$11,044 | +$6,156 | +$10,060 | +$19,769 | +$34,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.1% | -62.4% | -59.8% | -59.0% | -56.1% | -42.7% | -32.8% | -15.2% | -3.6% | +2.0% | +3.3% | +6.4% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $275K | $280K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $383K | $450K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$278K to $353K
23.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$280K to $450K
49.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | +10.7% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102600) | $320K | $356K | +11.3% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | +9.8% | |
| South Salt Lake | $327K | $359K | +9.8% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100306) | $333K | $361K | +8.3% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | +10.7% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102900) | $492K | $578K | +17.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 101101) | $691K | $810K | +17.2% | |
| Murray | $611K | $713K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | $170K | |
| West Jordan | $461K | $519K | $183K | |
| Murray | $446K | $471K | $176K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84116 · Census Tract 49035100600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$280K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$341K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$450K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $115K | $123K | $126K | $135K | $176K | $206K | $260K | $296K | $313K | $307K | $317K | $326K | $341K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$190,244 | -$191,144 | -$183,244 | -$180,844 | -$171,944 | -$131,044 | -$100,444 | -$46,644 | -$11,044 | +$6,156 | +$10,060 | +$19,769 | +$34,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.1% | -62.4% | -59.8% | -59.0% | -56.1% | -42.7% | -32.8% | -15.2% | -3.6% | +2.0% | +3.3% | +6.4% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $275K | $280K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $383K | $450K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$278K to $353K
23.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$280K to $450K
49.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | +10.7% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102600) | $320K | $356K | +11.3% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | +9.8% | |
| South Salt Lake | $327K | $359K | +9.8% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100306) | $333K | $361K | +8.3% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | +10.7% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102900) | $492K | $578K | +17.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 101101) | $691K | $810K | +17.2% | |
| Murray | $611K | $713K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1006) | $308K | $341K | $170K | |
| West Jordan | $461K | $519K | $183K | |
| Murray | $446K | $471K | $176K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
