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Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84116 · Census Tract 49035100307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$448K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $183K | $193K | $220K | $235K | $261K | $275K | $358K | $373K | $412K | $418K | $422K | $442K | $448K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,915 | -$234,115 | -$225,015 | -$197,115 | -$182,515 | -$156,715 | -$142,815 | -$59,115 | -$45,015 | -$5,715 | +$4,829 | +$24,559 | +$30,971 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.2% | -56.1% | -53.9% | -47.2% | -43.7% | -37.5% | -34.2% | -14.2% | -10.8% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +5.9% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $360K | $355K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $526K | $595K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$360K to $494K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $595K
51.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | +7.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100100) | $415K | $476K | +14.6% | |
| Midvale | $418K | $471K | +12.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102701) | $415K | $466K | +12.4% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 112504) | $415K | $456K | +9.8% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111601) | $421K | $457K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | +7.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102900) | $492K | $578K | +17.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 101101) | $691K | $810K | +17.2% | |
| Murray | $611K | $713K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | $231K | |
| Murray | $446K | $471K | $176K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100600) | $308K | $341K | $170K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84116 · Census Tract 49035100307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$448K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $183K | $193K | $220K | $235K | $261K | $275K | $358K | $373K | $412K | $418K | $422K | $442K | $448K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,915 | -$234,115 | -$225,015 | -$197,115 | -$182,515 | -$156,715 | -$142,815 | -$59,115 | -$45,015 | -$5,715 | +$4,829 | +$24,559 | +$30,971 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.2% | -56.1% | -53.9% | -47.2% | -43.7% | -37.5% | -34.2% | -14.2% | -10.8% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +5.9% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $360K | $355K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $526K | $595K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$360K to $494K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $595K
51.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | +7.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100100) | $415K | $476K | +14.6% | |
| Midvale | $418K | $471K | +12.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102701) | $415K | $466K | +12.4% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 112504) | $415K | $456K | +9.8% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111601) | $421K | $457K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | +7.6% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102900) | $492K | $578K | +17.5% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 101101) | $691K | $810K | +17.2% | |
| Murray | $611K | $713K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City · 84116 · (Tract 1003.7) | $417K | $448K | $231K | |
| Murray | $446K | $471K | $176K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 100600) | $308K | $341K | $170K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
