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Salt Lake, UT · ZIP 84121 · Census Tract 49035110105 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$783K
Downside (P10)
$659K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$816K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+51% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $517K | $556K | $656K | $727K | $769K | $783K | $793K | $798K | $816K |
| YoY Change | +7.5% | +17.9% | +10.8% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $655K | $665K | $659K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$655K to $1.02M
45.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$659K to $1.18M
64.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottonwood Heights · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1101.5) | $773K | $816K | +5.7% | |
| Bingham | $794K | $880K | +10.9% | |
| Sandy | $775K | $828K | +6.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 101000) | $770K | $813K | +5.5% | |
| Draper | $780K | $820K | +5.1% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103500) | $785K | $817K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottonwood Heights · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1101.5) | $773K | $816K | +5.7% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 103900) | $680K | $813K | +19.5% | |
| Taylorsville | $490K | $585K | +19.2% | |
| West Valley City | $337K | $402K | +19.1% | |
| South Jordan | $688K | $818K | +18.9% | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 113520) | $447K | $529K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottonwood Heights · Salt Lake City · (Tract 1101.5) | $773K | $816K | $522K | |
| Millcreek | $356K | $375K | $169K | |
| West Jordan | $402K | $409K | $164K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 111602) | $342K | $376K | $161K | |
| Salt Lake City (Tract 102702) | $257K | $260K | $148K | |
| Taylorsville | $98K | $113K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.