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Davis, UT · ZIP 84037 · Census Tract 49011126108 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$864K
Downside (P10)
$757K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$955K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+55% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $571K | $607K | $706K | $814K | $846K | $864K | $898K | $930K | $955K |
| YoY Change | +6.4% | +16.3% | +15.3% | +3.9% | +2.2% | +3.9% | +3.6% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $789K | $783K | $757K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$789K to $1.08M
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$757K to $1.34M
60.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $861K | $955K | +10.9% | |
| Kaysville | $854K | $983K | +15.1% | |
| North Davis | $742K | $846K | +14.0% | |
| South Davis (Tract 126206) | $745K | $811K | +8.8% | |
| South Davis (Tract 126404) | $779K | $838K | +7.6% | |
| South Davis (Tract 126402) | $823K | $880K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $861K | $955K | +10.9% | |
| Sunset | $342K | $401K | +17.5% | |
| Bountiful | $588K | $685K | +16.4% | |
| South Davis | $574K | $668K | +16.4% | |
| North Davis | $449K | $517K | +15.2% | |
| Kaysville | $854K | $983K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Davis | $861K | $955K | $582K | |
| North Davis (Tract 125809) | $356K | $386K | $218K | |
| North Davis (Tract 125501) | $387K | $414K | $216K | |
| South Davis | $416K | $449K | $216K | |
| Clearfield | $429K | $459K | $208K | |
| Sunset | $342K | $401K | $200K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.