County 49455, UT · Census Tract 49455000959 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.81M
Downside (P10)
$1.71M
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.54M
-33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.15M
-17% by 2030
Base case: -33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -17%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 49455 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.8M | $3.6M | $3.1M | $2.7M | $2.5M |
| YoY Change | -5.5% | -14.1% | -12.6% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.1M | $1.9M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.2M | $3.7M | $3.2M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.11M to $4.23M
29.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.71M to $3.15M
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001660 | $2.96M | $2.20M | -25.6% |
| Tract 001709 | $2.05M | $1.82M | -11.1% |
| Tract 001767 | $1.95M | $1.46M | -24.8% |
| Tract 802225 | $527K | $664K | +25.9% |
| Tract 802380 | $521K | $701K | +34.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400481 | $232K | $338K | +45.8% |
| Tract 801925 | $471K | $670K | +42.2% |
| Tract 400407 | $228K | $321K | +40.6% |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | +40.3% |
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | +38.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400229 | $231K | $321K | $221K |
| Tract 400342 | $231K | $323K | $222K |
| Tract 400449 | $228K | $312K | $225K |
| Tract 400368 | $228K | $307K | $225K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources