What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48505950401 in Zapata · 78076 · (Tract 9504.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $86,637 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48505950401 in Zapata · 78076 · (Tract 9504.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $86,637 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.5%.

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Parcel 48505950401 (Zapata) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48505950401, Zapata · 78076 · (Tract 9504.1) Home Price Forecast

Zapata, TX · ZIP 78076 · Census Tract 48505950401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$87K

Downside (P10)

$75K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$92K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$113K

+30% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$76K	$87K	$83K	$76K	$87K	$87K	$88K	$91K	$92K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$10,837	+$263	-$3,437	-$10,537	+$63		+$1,781	+$4,618	+$5,672
Growth % vs 2026	-12.5%	+0.3%	-4.0%	-12.2%	+0.1%		+2.1%	+5.3%	+6.5%
Downside (P10)							$76K	$74K	$75K
Upside (P90)							$104K	$109K	$113K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$76K to $104K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$75K to $113K

40.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.5% · Spread: 41%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48505950401, Zapata · 78076 · (Tract 9504.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).