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Young, TX · Census Tract 48503001021 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$481K
Downside (P10)
$423K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$610K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+126% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +126%. The model forecasts this with 40% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $481K | $533K | $531K | $554K | $610K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$52,672 | +$50,390 | +$73,397 | +$129,339 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.0% | +10.5% | +15.3% | +26.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $412K | $366K | $370K | $423K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $705K | $769K | $939K | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$412K to $705K
54.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$423K to $1.1M
108.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | +26.9% | |
| Young (Tract 002541) | $438K | $628K | +43.3% | |
| Young (Tract 002240) | $475K | $644K | +35.6% | |
| Young (Tract 001500) | $467K | $633K | +35.4% | |
| Young (Tract 001762) | $462K | $619K | +34.2% | |
| Young (Tract 002800) | $449K | $578K | +28.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | +26.9% | |
| Young (Tract 000129) | $405K | $716K | +76.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000404) | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000365) | $401K | $692K | +72.6% | |
| Young (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Young (Tract 000145) | $413K | $701K | +69.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | $663K | |
| Graham (Tract 950600) | $205K | $226K | $125K | |
| Newcastle area | $200K | $214K | $109K | |
| Olney area | $122K | $125K | $54K | |
| Graham (Tract 950401) | $200K | $200K | $48K | |
| Graham (Tract 950500) | $188K | $191K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Young, TX · Census Tract 48503001021 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$481K
Downside (P10)
$423K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$610K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+126% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +126%. The model forecasts this with 40% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $481K | $533K | $531K | $554K | $610K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$52,672 | +$50,390 | +$73,397 | +$129,339 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.0% | +10.5% | +15.3% | +26.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $412K | $366K | $370K | $423K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $705K | $769K | $939K | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$412K to $705K
54.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$423K to $1.1M
108.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | +26.9% | |
| Young (Tract 002541) | $438K | $628K | +43.3% | |
| Young (Tract 002240) | $475K | $644K | +35.6% | |
| Young (Tract 001500) | $467K | $633K | +35.4% | |
| Young (Tract 001762) | $462K | $619K | +34.2% | |
| Young (Tract 002800) | $449K | $578K | +28.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | +26.9% | |
| Young (Tract 000129) | $405K | $716K | +76.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000404) | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000365) | $401K | $692K | +72.6% | |
| Young (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Young (Tract 000145) | $413K | $701K | +69.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001021 | $481K | $610K | $663K | |
| Graham (Tract 950600) | $205K | $226K | $125K | |
| Newcastle area | $200K | $214K | $109K | |
| Olney area | $122K | $125K | $54K | |
| Graham (Tract 950401) | $200K | $200K | $48K | |
| Graham (Tract 950500) | $188K | $191K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
