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Williamson, TX · ZIP 78628 · Census Tract 48491020106 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$497K
Downside (P10)
$379K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$477K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$646K
+30% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $307K | $323K | $345K | $360K | $365K | $366K | $378K | $442K | $504K | $498K | $497K | $505K | $489K | $477K |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | +6.9% | +4.5% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +16.9% | +14.0% | -1.2% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -3.3% | -2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $445K | $398K | $379K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $565K | $632K | $646K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$445K to $565K
23.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$379K to $646K
56.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round Rock-Georgetown · Georgetown · (Tract 201.6) | $502K | $477K | -5.1% | |
| Cedar Park (Tract 020335) | $498K | $586K | +17.7% | |
| Round Rock-Georgetown (Tract 020505) | $499K | $526K | +5.4% | |
| Cedar Park (Tract 020346) | $494K | $529K | +7.1% | |
| Cedar Park-Liberty Hill | $493K | $533K | +8.0% | |
| Round Rock-Georgetown (Tract 021510) | $492K | $560K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round Rock-Georgetown · Georgetown · (Tract 201.6) | $502K | $477K | -5.1% | |
| Cedar Park-Liberty Hill | $407K | $491K | +20.6% | |
| Cedar Park | $655K | $786K | +20.0% | |
| Jarrell | $287K | $343K | +19.8% | |
| Florence | $345K | $413K | +19.6% | |
| Brushy Creek | $574K | $677K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round Rock-Georgetown · Georgetown · (Tract 201.6) | $502K | $477K | $267K | |
| Taylor | $245K | $257K | $107K | |
| Granger | $220K | $240K | $133K | |
| Round Rock (Tract 020701) | $231K | $253K | $141K | |
| Round Rock (Tract 020704) | $284K | $325K | $144K | |
| Round Rock (Tract 020511) | $288K | $303K | $145K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.