What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48491020341 in Leander · 78641 · (Tract 203.41)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $427,526 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48491020341 in Leander · 78641 · (Tract 203.41)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $427,526 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 48491020341 (Leander) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48491020341, Leander · 78641 · (Tract 203.41) Home Price Forecast

Williamson, TX · ZIP 78641 · Census Tract 48491020341 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$428K

Downside (P10)

$348K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$444K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$605K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$268K	$288K	$350K	$406K	$430K	$428K	$430K	$432K	$444K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$159,626	-$139,426	-$77,726	-$21,926	+$2,574		+$2,298	+$4,090	+$16,331
Growth % vs 2026	-37.3%	-32.6%	-18.2%	-5.1%	+0.6%		+0.5%	+1.0%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$334K	$343K	$348K
Upside (P90)							$560K	$596K	$605K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$334K to $560K

52.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$348K to $605K

58.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48491020341, Leander · 78641 · (Tract 203.41) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).