What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48485012201 in Wichita Falls?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $266,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48485012201 in Wichita Falls?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $266,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.8%.

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Parcel 48485012201 (Wichita Falls) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48485012201, Wichita Falls Home Price Forecast

Wichita, TX · ZIP 76302 · Census Tract 48485012201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$267K

Downside (P10)

$234K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$282K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$384K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$186K	$251K	$258K	$242K	$261K	$267K	$275K	$286K	$282K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$81,022	-$15,322	-$8,622	-$24,522	-$5,822		+$8,252	+$19,179	+$15,553
Growth % vs 2026	-30.4%	-5.7%	-3.2%	-9.2%	-2.2%		+3.1%	+7.2%	+5.8%
Downside (P10)							$243K	$238K	$234K
Upside (P90)							$324K	$363K	$384K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$243K to $324K

29.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$234K to $384K

52.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.8% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48485012201, Wichita Falls on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).