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Wichita, TX · ZIP 76360 · Census Tract 48485013800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$279K
Downside (P10)
$236K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$381K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $125K | $140K | $150K | $158K | $162K | $173K | $184K | $217K | $269K | $279K | $286K | $293K | $299K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,080 | -$154,080 | -$139,180 | -$128,780 | -$120,780 | -$117,280 | -$105,580 | -$94,780 | -$61,880 | -$9,380 | +$6,817 | +$13,882 | +$20,678 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.5% | -55.3% | -49.9% | -46.2% | -43.3% | -42.1% | -37.9% | -34.0% | -22.2% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +5.0% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $239K | $243K | $236K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $335K | $355K | $381K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$239K to $335K
33.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$236K to $381K
48.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $307K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $301K | +31.2% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012002) | $287K | $333K | +16.2% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012001) | $250K | $272K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012201) | $265K | $282K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $307K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 880001) | $218K | $294K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 120004) | $225K | $298K | +32.1% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $301K | +31.2% | |
| Wichita (Tract 440001) | $224K | $293K | +31.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | $145K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010200) | $69K | $76K | $34K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 011400) | $75K | $81K | $29K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010400) | $57K | $59K | $29K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010800) | $62K | $65K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Wichita, TX · ZIP 76360 · Census Tract 48485013800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$279K
Downside (P10)
$236K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$381K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $125K | $140K | $150K | $158K | $162K | $173K | $184K | $217K | $269K | $279K | $286K | $293K | $299K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,080 | -$154,080 | -$139,180 | -$128,780 | -$120,780 | -$117,280 | -$105,580 | -$94,780 | -$61,880 | -$9,380 | +$6,817 | +$13,882 | +$20,678 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.5% | -55.3% | -49.9% | -46.2% | -43.3% | -42.1% | -37.9% | -34.0% | -22.2% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +5.0% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $239K | $243K | $236K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $335K | $355K | $381K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$239K to $335K
33.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$236K to $381K
48.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $307K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $301K | +31.2% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012002) | $287K | $333K | +16.2% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012001) | $250K | $272K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 012201) | $265K | $282K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | +8.6% | |
| Wichita (Tract 560004) | $229K | $307K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 880001) | $218K | $294K | +34.5% | |
| Wichita (Tract 120004) | $225K | $298K | +32.1% | |
| Wichita (Tract 920000) | $230K | $301K | +31.2% | |
| Wichita (Tract 440001) | $224K | $293K | +31.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electra area | $276K | $299K | $145K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010200) | $69K | $76K | $34K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 011400) | $75K | $81K | $29K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010400) | $57K | $59K | $29K | |
| Wichita Falls (Tract 010800) | $62K | $65K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
