What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48481740901 in El Campo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $258,879 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48481740901 in El Campo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $258,879 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

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Parcel 48481740901 (El Campo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48481740901, El Campo Home Price Forecast

Wharton, TX · ZIP 77437 · Census Tract 48481740901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$259K

Downside (P10)

$208K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$290K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$340K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$191K	$185K	$178K	$235K	$242K	$259K	$267K	$271K	$290K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$67,979	-$73,479	-$81,179	-$24,179	-$16,679		+$8,237	+$12,437	+$31,231
Growth % vs 2026	-26.3%	-28.4%	-31.4%	-9.3%	-6.4%		+3.2%	+4.8%	+12.1%
Downside (P10)							$231K	$227K	$208K
Upside (P90)							$302K	$316K	$340K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$231K to $302K

26.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$208K to $340K

45.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.1% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48481740901, El Campo on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).