What is the home price forecast for Louise?

Homecastr forecasts Louise median home values at $221,099 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.0%.

How confident is the Louise forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $183,100 (downside) to $312,277 (upside), with a spread of 57% of median.

Louise Home Price Forecast

Wharton, TX · ZIP 77455 · Census Tract 48481741100 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$221K

Downside (P10)

$183K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$228K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$312K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Wharton markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$112K	$112K	$136K	$135K	$129K	$123K	$150K	$149K	$162K	$211K	$221K	$222K	$233K	$228K
YoY Change		-0.1%	+20.9%	-0.7%	-3.9%	-4.9%	+22.3%	-1.0%	+9.1%	+30.1%	+4.7%	+0.3%	+5.3%	-2.4%
Downside (P10)												$190K	$192K	$183K
Upside (P90)												$263K	$303K	$312K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$190K to $263K

32.9% of median

5-Year Spread

$183K to $312K

56.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: +3.0% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Louise	$214K	$228K	+6.2%
Wharton	$199K	$230K	+15.8%
El Campo	$245K	$275K	+12.2%
El Campo	$252K	$290K	+15.3%
Wharton	$177K	$183K	+3.1%
Boling-Newgulf	$175K	$187K	+6.4%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Louise	$214K	$228K	+6.2%
Wharton	$199K	$230K	+15.8%
El Campo	$252K	$290K	+15.3%
El Campo	$245K	$275K	+12.2%
El Campo	$161K	$180K	+11.4%
El Campo	$98K	$108K	+10.5%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Louise	$214K	$228K	$129K
El Campo	$161K	$180K	$86K
El Campo	$98K	$108K	$89K
Wharton	$177K	$183K	$91K
Wharton	$137K	$145K	$92K
El Campo	$157K	$166K	$97K

Location

Louise on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).