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Washington, TX · ZIP 77833 · Census Tract 48477170502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$356K
Downside (P10)
$294K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$383K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$505K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $239K | $253K | $290K | $347K | $356K | $351K | $366K | $383K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,608 | -$117,008 | -$103,108 | -$65,808 | -$9,208 | -$4,475 | +$10,348 | +$27,284 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.0% | -32.9% | -29.0% | -18.5% | -2.6% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +7.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $297K | $294K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $416K | $460K | $505K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$306K to $416K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$294K to $505K
55.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | +8.8% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill | $270K | $309K | +14.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | +10.1% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | +8.8% | |
| Burton | $401K | $431K | +7.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170202) | $375K | $401K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | +8.8% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill (Tract 170602) | $270K | $309K | +14.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | +10.1% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill (Tract 170601) | $522K | $573K | +9.9% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170201) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | $211K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | $187K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | $155K | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill | $270K | $309K | $145K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170201) | $227K | $249K | $140K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170400) | $231K | $239K | $134K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, TX · ZIP 77833 · Census Tract 48477170502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$356K
Downside (P10)
$294K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$383K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$505K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $239K | $253K | $290K | $347K | $356K | $351K | $366K | $383K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,608 | -$117,008 | -$103,108 | -$65,808 | -$9,208 | -$4,475 | +$10,348 | +$27,284 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.0% | -32.9% | -29.0% | -18.5% | -2.6% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +7.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $297K | $294K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $416K | $460K | $505K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$306K to $416K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$294K to $505K
55.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | +8.8% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill | $270K | $309K | +14.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | +10.1% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | +8.8% | |
| Burton | $401K | $431K | +7.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170202) | $375K | $401K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | +8.8% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill (Tract 170602) | $270K | $309K | +14.4% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | +10.1% | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill (Tract 170601) | $522K | $573K | +9.9% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170201) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gay Hill-Independence | $352K | $383K | $211K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170300) | $296K | $322K | $187K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170100) | $234K | $257K | $155K | |
| Washington-Chappell Hill | $270K | $309K | $145K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170201) | $227K | $249K | $140K | |
| Brenham (Tract 170400) | $231K | $239K | $134K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
