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Val Verde, TX · ZIP 78840 · Census Tract 48465950701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$226K
Downside (P10)
$194K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$236K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$298K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $171K | $174K | $206K | $218K | $223K | $226K | $229K | $240K | $236K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$55,287 | -$52,187 | -$19,387 | -$7,387 | -$2,687 | +$2,787 | +$14,680 | +$10,709 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.5% | -23.1% | -8.6% | -3.3% | -1.2% | +1.2% | +6.5% | +4.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $191K | $194K | $194K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $270K | $295K | $298K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$191K to $270K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$194K to $298K
44.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | +4.7% | |
| Del Rio Northwest area | $284K | $321K | +13.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950400) | $163K | $183K | +12.5% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950203) | $272K | $305K | +12.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950501) | $208K | $230K | +10.8% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950202) | $198K | $219K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | +4.7% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950502) | $97K | $110K | +14.1% | |
| Del Rio Northwest area | $284K | $321K | +13.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950400) | $163K | $183K | +12.5% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950203) | $272K | $305K | +12.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950501) | $208K | $230K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | $104K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950301) | $158K | $170K | $95K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950702) | $112K | $124K | $92K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950302) | $138K | $144K | $74K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950502) | $97K | $110K | $69K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950602) | $102K | $106K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Val Verde, TX · ZIP 78840 · Census Tract 48465950701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$226K
Downside (P10)
$194K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$236K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$298K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $171K | $174K | $206K | $218K | $223K | $226K | $229K | $240K | $236K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$55,287 | -$52,187 | -$19,387 | -$7,387 | -$2,687 | +$2,787 | +$14,680 | +$10,709 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.5% | -23.1% | -8.6% | -3.3% | -1.2% | +1.2% | +6.5% | +4.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $191K | $194K | $194K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $270K | $295K | $298K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$191K to $270K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$194K to $298K
44.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | +4.7% | |
| Del Rio Northwest area | $284K | $321K | +13.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950400) | $163K | $183K | +12.5% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950203) | $272K | $305K | +12.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950501) | $208K | $230K | +10.8% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950202) | $198K | $219K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | +4.7% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950502) | $97K | $110K | +14.1% | |
| Del Rio Northwest area | $284K | $321K | +13.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950400) | $163K | $183K | +12.5% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950203) | $272K | $305K | +12.1% | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950501) | $208K | $230K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Rio · 78840 · (Tract 9507.1) | $226K | $236K | $104K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950301) | $158K | $170K | $95K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950702) | $112K | $124K | $92K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950302) | $138K | $144K | $74K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950502) | $97K | $110K | $69K | |
| Del Rio (Tract 950602) | $102K | $106K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
