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Taylor, TX · ZIP 79536 · Census Tract 48441013601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$130K
Downside (P10)
$115K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$181K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $87K | $111K | $99K | $126K | $130K | $133K | $133K | $134K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$57,166 | -$42,766 | -$19,166 | -$30,566 | -$3,966 | +$3,453 | +$3,016 | +$4,643 | +$745 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.1% | -33.0% | -14.8% | -23.6% | -3.1% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $113K | $111K | $115K | $115K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $159K | $170K | $181K | $148K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$113K to $159K
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$115K to $148K
25.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | +4.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010500) | $134K | $150K | +12.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010200) | $148K | $157K | +6.3% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012300) | $138K | $145K | +5.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011200) | $118K | $124K | +4.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011400) | $122K | $125K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | +4.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 013401) | $161K | $189K | +17.5% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011900) | $60K | $70K | +17.0% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012200) | $107K | $122K | +13.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012801) | $220K | $249K | +13.2% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010300) | $88K | $100K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | $66K | |
| Abilene (Tract 011900) | $60K | $70K | $48K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010300) | $88K | $100K | $47K | |
| Abilene (Tract 013100) | $78K | $82K | $46K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010400) | $60K | $67K | $43K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010800) | $52K | $58K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Taylor, TX · ZIP 79536 · Census Tract 48441013601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$130K
Downside (P10)
$115K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$181K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $87K | $111K | $99K | $126K | $130K | $133K | $133K | $134K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$57,166 | -$42,766 | -$19,166 | -$30,566 | -$3,966 | +$3,453 | +$3,016 | +$4,643 | +$745 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.1% | -33.0% | -14.8% | -23.6% | -3.1% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $113K | $111K | $115K | $115K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $159K | $170K | $181K | $148K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$113K to $159K
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$115K to $148K
25.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | +4.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010500) | $134K | $150K | +12.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010200) | $148K | $157K | +6.3% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012300) | $138K | $145K | +5.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011200) | $118K | $124K | +4.4% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011400) | $122K | $125K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | +4.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 013401) | $161K | $189K | +17.5% | |
| Abilene (Tract 011900) | $60K | $70K | +17.0% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012200) | $107K | $122K | +13.7% | |
| Abilene (Tract 012801) | $220K | $249K | +13.2% | |
| Abilene (Tract 010300) | $88K | $100K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merkel | $128K | $134K | $66K | |
| Abilene (Tract 011900) | $60K | $70K | $48K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010300) | $88K | $100K | $47K | |
| Abilene (Tract 013100) | $78K | $82K | $46K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010400) | $60K | $67K | $43K | |
| Abilene (Tract 010800) | $52K | $58K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
