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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76119 · Census Tract 48439106300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$144K
Downside (P10)
$127K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$157K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$230K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $62K | $58K | $57K | $58K | $78K | $82K | $88K | $121K | $144K | $144K | $150K | $152K | $157K |
| YoY Change | -6.7% | -5.5% | -1.7% | +0.3% | +35.0% | +5.3% | +8.0% | +37.0% | +19.3% | -0.1% | +3.9% | +1.3% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $132K | $130K | $127K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $206K | $230K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$132K to $188K
37.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$127K to $230K
65.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $146K | $157K | +7.5% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 123600) | $146K | $162K | +10.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105901) | $144K | $159K | +10.3% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106201) | $146K | $159K | +9.4% | |
| Haltom City | $142K | $150K | +5.2% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104505) | $144K | $151K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $146K | $157K | +7.5% | |
| Grapevine | $406K | $513K | +26.5% | |
| Fort Worth | $276K | $336K | +21.8% | |
| Grand Prairie | $379K | $459K | +21.1% | |
| Watauga | $300K | $362K | +20.7% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $146K | $157K | $103K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.