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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76116 · Census Tract 48439105408 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$544K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$723K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $381K | $393K | $470K | $482K | $498K | $500K | $519K | $540K | $544K | $516K |
| YoY Change | +3.0% | +19.7% | +2.5% | +3.4% | +0.3% | +3.9% | +4.1% | +0.7% | -5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $439K | $436K | $425K | $454K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $613K | $663K | $723K | $586K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$439K to $613K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$454K to $586K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Grapevine (Tract 113711) | $508K | $567K | +11.7% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104202) | $493K | $541K | +9.8% | |
| Grapevine (Tract 113714) | $509K | $544K | +6.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104301) | $484K | $502K | +3.8% | |
| Grand Prairie | $488K | $496K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Grapevine | $406K | $513K | +26.5% | |
| Fort Worth | $276K | $336K | +21.8% | |
| Grand Prairie | $379K | $459K | +21.1% | |
| Watauga | $300K | $362K | +20.7% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | $298K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.